Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.009509 0.010736 0.012083 0.013675 0.015510 0.017564 0.020046
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.007503 0.009139 0.011097 0.013628 0.016839 0.020803 0.026116
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.006173 0.007889 0.010060 0.013036 0.017055 0.022359 0.029997
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.005426 0.007210 0.009571 0.012967 0.017804 0.024557 0.034904
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.005087 0.007000 0.009636 0.013600 0.019528 0.028252 0.042428
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.004485 0.006344 0.008990 0.013111 0.019522 0.029373 0.046180
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.004028 0.005840 0.008494 0.012765 0.019653 0.030669 0.050341
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003731 0.005539 0.008261 0.012780 0.020328 0.032882 0.056339
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003602 0.005477 0.008381 0.013355 0.021971 0.036897 0.066146
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003344 0.005186 0.008107 0.013244 0.022420 0.038877 0.072473
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003161 0.004998 0.007978 0.013358 0.023266 0.041662 0.080809
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002938 0.004723 0.007679 0.013140 0.023470 0.043252 0.086945
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002808 0.004603 0.007644 0.013413 0.024675 0.047039 0.098670
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002640 0.004403 0.007455 0.013387 0.025307 0.049791 0.108714
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002406 0.004070 0.006999 0.012805 0.024749 0.049969 0.112779
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002269 0.003898 0.006819 0.012738 0.025238 0.052466 0.122965
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002235 0.003909 0.006978 0.013358 0.027258 0.058676 0.143924
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002065 0.003657 0.006616 0.012879 0.026813 0.059122 0.149682
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001928 0.003454 0.006336 0.012540 0.026643 0.060198 0.157425
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001841 0.003344 0.006226 0.012554 0.027285 0.063363 0.171899
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001820 0.003357 0.006364 0.013117 0.029295 0.070316 0.199487
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001731 0.003231 0.006206 0.013009 0.029659 0.073021 0.214459
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.001670 0.003155 0.006149 0.013121 0.030586 0.077398 0.236070